People like to make predictions, and thanks to our social media obsessed culture, there's no lack of trolls individuals willing to publicly express their predictions about matters both silly and important.
Most of these predictions deserve to be ignored of course. They're just opinions, probably ones that no one asked for. A better reason to ignore them, however, is the predictor probably isn't educated on the topic, much less an expert on it.
The COVID-19 pandemic made things even worse, as millions of people became epidemiology experts overnight, and consequently made a lot of (wrong) predictions about what would happen. Lately, millions more have become experts on Ukraine, Russia, and war atrocities, and they will almost certainly be wrong on their predictions about that conflict.
Meanwhile, the unsolicited, ignorant predictions keep coming, thanks to the shamelessness of the individuals and companies who profit from the clicks they generate on the internet. They don't care about the accuracy of their predictions, even though they know a lot of them will be provably wrong thanks to the forever nature of social media and videotape.
So if you can't beat 'em, join 'em, right? Here are a few general predictions I want to make about the future that I believe will become fact:
- There will be unexpected news. Some of it will be good. Some of it will be bad.
- Some countries / companies will strengthen in the next year. Others will weaken. These will change from year to year.
- A new book will say the rules no longer work and everything has changed. Another new book will say nothing has really changed and the old rules still apply.
- Media 'pundits' and 'influencers' who are not subject matter experts will ignore that and still tell us what they think about those subjects.
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